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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+9.9%) | 11 | 0.2% | 60m | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 25% ±23 | 58% ±40 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 231 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,592.16 (+6.1%) | 6.6 | 2.9% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 18% ±13 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 36% ±28 | 61% ±43 | 5.0d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,479.06–4,488.93 (+3.5%) | 3.8 | 6.8% | 3.0d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 23% ±22 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 5% ±5 | 23% ±22 | 45% ±44 | 70% ±64 | 4.0d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,430.32 (+2.4%) | 2.6 | 3.2% | 17h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 41% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 12% ±16 | 41% ±56 | 71% | 88% | 1.2d | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,417.98–4,550.42 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 42% ±25 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±24 | 49% ±44 | 53% ±69 | 6.8d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 93 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,326.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,276.08 (-1.2%) | 1.2 | 0.8% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 58% ±27 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 36% ±11 | 58% ±27 | 64% ±47 | 70% ±63 | 12h | 3.63% | 1.19% | 79 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,134.18–4,200.4 (-2.9%) | 3.1 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 48% ±25 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 11% ±6 | 50% ±25 | 73% ±39 | 81% ±55 | 1.0d | 2.71% | 1.45% | 92 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-3.1%) | 3.4 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 31× | 10% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±18 | 10% ±33 | 10% | > 7d | — | — | 61 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,129.56 (-4.5%) | 4.9 | 2.4% | 15h | 3.0d ago · 59× | 23% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 4% ±3 | 23% ±17 | 45% ±37 | 68% ±53 | 3.8d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 131 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.