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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+11.2%) | 11 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.5d ago · 70× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±8 | 24% ±23 | 58% ±40 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 233 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,601.65 (+7.6%) | 7.5 | 3.0% | 23h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 12% ±12 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 12% ±12 | 31% ±29 | 58% ±48 | 5.6d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,479.06–4,488.93 (+4.8%) | 4.7 | 7.4% | 3.3d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 17% ±20 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 3% ±4 | 17% ±20 | 38% ±42 | 68% ±65 | 4.9d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,419.81 (+3.4%) | 3.3 | 3.0% | 18h | 7.3d ago · 56× | 33% ±46 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±46 | 74% | 81% | 1.4d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,417.98–4,550.42 (+3.3%) | 3.3 | 3.0% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 30% ±23 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 6% ±5 | 30% ±22 | 41% ±43 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 97 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,275.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,134.18–4,200.4 (-1.8%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 57% ±26 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 27% ±9 | 57% ±25 | 76% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 17h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (-2.0%) | 1.9 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 31× | 29% ±51 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 19% ±18 | 29% ±51 | 29% | 29% | > 7d | — | — | 19 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,157.52 (-2.8%) | 2.7 | 4.0% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 59× | 33% ±24 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 9% ±6 | 33% ±24 | 46% ±44 | 53% ±69 | 3.5d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 90 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,096.34 (-4.2%) | 4.1 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 47× | 23% ±15 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±16 | 36% ±30 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 3.63% | 1.19% | 177 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.