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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-09 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,754–4,758.54 (+9.7%) | 9.5 | 0.2% | 1h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 8% ±9 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 28% ±25 | 58% ±39 | 5.9d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,611.48 (+6.4%) | 6.3 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 22% ±14 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 22% ±14 | 39% ±29 | 65% ±42 | 4.0d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,477.67–4,488.93 (+3.3%) | 3.2 | 7.4% | 3.3d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 30% ±24 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±24 | 52% ±44 | 72% ±62 | 2.8d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,417.98–4,550.42 (+1.9%) | 1.9 | 3.0% | 17h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 45% ±26 | 61% ±21 | 9% ±12 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 17% ±8 | 45% ±25 | 56% ±43 | 58% ±68 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,405.07 (+1.6%) | 1.6 | 2.7% | 12h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 61% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 39% ±24 | 61% ±55 | 78% | 89% | 8h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 4,335.06 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 4,323.38–4,332.84 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 17h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 92% ±16 | 48% ±18 | 21% ±15 | 30% ±16 | 30 | 78% ±10 | 92% ±16 | 93% ±25 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 2.71% | 1.45% | 71 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,285.54 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 1.3% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 63% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 41% ±11 | 64% ±25 | 70% ±40 | 76% ±59 | 8h | 3.63% | 1.19% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,183.22–4,190.94 (-3.3%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 59× | 22% ±20 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±20 | 33% ±41 | 38% ±67 | 3.4d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.