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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,749.08 (+15.7%) | 14 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 16% ±22 | 57% ±43 | 6.5d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 201 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,616.69–4,619.55 (+12.4%) | 11 | 2.5% | 20h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 5% ±8 | 44% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 49% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±8 | 25% ±27 | 59% ±48 | 5.5d | 1.97% | 2.04% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,481.14–4,489.67 (+9.1%) | 8.4 | 7.4% | 3.3d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 9% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 25% ±43 | 73% ±62 | 4.8d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,321.47 (+5.2%) | 4.8 | 2.6% | 16h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 21% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 21% ±35 | 59% ±68 | 65% | 2.5d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,285.54 (+2.8%) | 2.5 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 58% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 16% ±13 | 58% ±43 | 68% ±65 | 97% | 20h | — | — | 29 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,190.94 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 105.3d ago · 18× | 25% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 10% ±14 | 25% ±49 | 35% | 45% | > 7d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,152.92 (+1.1%) | 1.0 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 22.8d ago · 46× | 69% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 62% ±29 | 69% ±64 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,124.72–4,200.4 (+0.4%) | 0.4 | 2.8% | 16h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 80% ±26 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 67% ±12 | 79% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 90% | 1h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 55 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,106.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 1.3% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 79% ±26 | 62% ±22 | 19% ±18 | 19% ±18 | 18 | 54% ±13 | 80% ±26 | 82% ±43 | 86% | 3h | 3.63% | 1.19% | 54 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.