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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,749.08 (+22.9%) | 16 | 0.4% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 13% ±22 | 56% ±49 | 6.5d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 167 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,643.31 (+20.1%) | 15 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 3% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 22% ±41 | 56% ±69 | 5.6d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,615.63 (+19.4%) | 14 | 3.0% | 24h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 5% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 20% ±27 | 52% ±57 | 5.9d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,481.88–4,491.1 (+16.0%) | 11 | 8.9% | 3.9d | 3.3d ago · 104× | 5% ±15 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 2% ±4 | 5% ±15 | 21% ±46 | 71% | 4.9d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,265.1 (+10.4%) | 7.5 | 0.7% | 1h | 7.3d ago · 56× | 13% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±32 | 54% | 54% | 2.5d | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,181.48 (+8.2%) | 5.9 | 5.3% | 1.8d | 105.5d ago · 18× | 11% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 2 | 4% ±7 | 11% ±31 | 26% | 93% | 4.8d | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 4,135.96 (+7.0%) | 5.1 | 3.8% | 24h | 23.0d ago · 46× | 18% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 2% ±4 | 18% ±27 | 51% ±57 | 65% | 2.9d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (+4.8%) | 3.4 | 1.5% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 69% ±37 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 17% ±13 | 68% ±37 | 74% ±61 | 97% | 16h | — | — | 34 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,001.74–4,020.66 (+3.5%) | 2.6 | 3.5% | 1.4d | 1.3d ago · 83× | 37% ±24 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 11% ±6 | 36% ±23 | 43% ±40 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 99 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,864.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.