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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,713.38–4,754.32 (+23.0%) | 10 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 6% ±8 | 42% ±18 | 8% ±10 | 49% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 25% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 5.9d | 1.97% | 2.04% | 241 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+16.8%) | 7.3 | 13.0% | 5.7d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 10% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 30% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 4.5d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,266.56 (+11.3%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 18% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 3% ±6 | 18% ±34 | 57% ±69 | 64% | 2.5d | — | — | 32 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,158.24–4,166.08 (+8.5%) | 3.7 | 7.6% | 2.5d | 22.8d ago · 46× | 18% ±27 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±5 | 18% ±27 | 45% ±56 | 63% | 4.0d | — | — | 46 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (+4.0%) | 1.8 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 9.6d ago · 82× | 46% ±25 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 19% ±8 | 44% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 1.8d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,833.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.