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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-11 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46–4,754.32 (+24.1%) | 9.5 | 1.3% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±18 | 8% ±10 | 49% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 26% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 5.9d | 1.97% | 2.04% | 245 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+17.2%) | 6.7 | 14.2% | 6.1d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 10% ±16 | 38% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 30% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 4.6d | 1.83% | 1.70% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 4,253.02 (+11.4%) | 4.5 | 1.0% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 20% ±32 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±5 | 20% ±32 | 59% ±68 | 66% | 2.5d | — | — | 35 → 1 |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,144.7–4,152.4 (+8.5%) | 3.3 | 7.4% | 2.2d | 22.8d ago · 46× | 22% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±5 | 22% ±33 | 50% ±69 | 65% | 2.0d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (+4.4%) | 1.7 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 9.5d ago · 82× | 46% ±25 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 19% ±8 | 44% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 94 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,818.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.