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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46–4,754.32 (+15.5%) | 10 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 24% ±22 | 56% ±40 | 6.2d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 247 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,487.56 (+9.1%) | 6.0 | 8.8% | 4.4d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 19% ±13 | 33% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±13 | 35% ±27 | 71% ±40 | 4.3d | 1.69% | 1.91% | 211 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 4,248.16–4,261.84 (+3.5%) | 2.3 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 55% ±44 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 15% ±13 | 55% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 97% | 1.0d | — | — | 31 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,111.36–4,207.12 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 19h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 83% ±26 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 75% ±13 | 83% ±26 | 90% ±35 | 90% | 1h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 46 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,104.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 4,090.54–4,097.68 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 76% ±42 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 56% ±20 | 76% ±42 | 76% | 76% | 2h | 2.39% | 1.07% | 23 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (-1.8%) | 1.2 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 68% ±22 | 46% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 47% ±10 | 68% ±22 | 82% ±31 | 90% ±41 | 5h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,812.97 (-7.1%) | 4.7 | 2.9% | 15h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 27% ±19 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 3% ±3 | 27% ±19 | 44% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.8d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,630.18 (-11.5%) | 7.7 | 0.2% | 6m | 2.8d ago · 85× | 10% ±9 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±9 | 20% ±21 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 257 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,104.17 | 4,476.43 | 3,973.55 | expired | +1.45% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 4,104.17 | 4,487.56 | 3,979.48 | expired | +1.45% |