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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-12 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,740.46–4,754.32 (+14.7%) | 9.9 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 8% ±8 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 26% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 249 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,469.66–4,487.56 (+8.1%) | 5.5 | 8.1% | 4.0d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 23% ±14 | 33% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 56% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±14 | 40% ±28 | 72% ±39 | 4.2d | 1.69% | 1.91% | 222 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,439.68–4,617.52 (+7.4%) | 5.0 | 3.5% | 23h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 12% ±16 | 63% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±18 | 35% ±38 | 59% ±68 | 6.5d | 2.14% | 1.55% | 100 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 4,248.16–4,261.84 (+2.7%) | 1.9 | 0.5% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 59% ±43 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 20% ±14 | 59% ±39 | 70% ±63 | 97% | 20h | — | — | 33 → 1 |
| at post · 4,134.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 4,097.68–4,104.08 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 66% ±38 | 57% ±29 | 14% ±21 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 41% ±16 | 67% ±38 | 72% ±62 | 74% | 10h | 2.39% | 1.07% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,988.24–4,029.28 (-2.6%) | 1.7 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 58% ±25 | 46% ±17 | 20% ±14 | 34% ±16 | 32 | 27% ±9 | 57% ±25 | 77% ±37 | 87% ±47 | 18h | 2.29% | 1.52% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,812.97 (-7.8%) | 5.3 | 2.8% | 15h | 3.0d ago · 106× | 22% ±17 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 4% ±3 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±36 | 55% ±56 | 5.5d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 133 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,630.18 (-12.2%) | 8.3 | 0.2% | 6m | 2.9d ago · 85× | 8% ±8 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 17% ±20 | 41% ±39 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 259 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.