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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,699.84 (+17.7%) | 12 | 1.2% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±20 | 55% ±40 | 6.7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 254 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,591.52 (+14.9%) | 10 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 10% ±10 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 30% ±25 | 60% ±43 | 5.5d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 225 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,537.36 (+13.6%) | 9.1 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 4% ±7 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 22% ±26 | 53% ±49 | 6.0d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+12.1%) | 8.1 | 8.0% | 4.2d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 9% ±17 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±4 | 9% ±16 | 19% ±38 | 77% ±58 | 5.4d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,137.93 (+3.6%) | 2.4 | 6.4% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 42% ±26 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 12% ±7 | 42% ±26 | 53% ±44 | 70% ±63 | 2.6d | 2.17% | 1.48% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,090.54 (+2.4%) | 1.6 | 3.1% | 12h | 105.4d ago · 18× | 32% ±53 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 16% ±17 | 32% ±53 | 47% | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,212.4 (+2.4%) | 1.6 | 3.1% | 12h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 45% ±24 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 21% ±8 | 44% ±24 | 58% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 1.4d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 4,009.3 (+0.4%) | 0.2 | 4.2% | 1.8d | 22.9d ago · 46× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 77% ±25 | 77% ±58 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| at post · 3,994.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,860.36 (-3.4%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 38% ±22 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±22 | 53% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 2.0d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.