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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,645.68 (+17.9%) | 12 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 17% ±20 | 55% ±40 | 6.7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 256 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,591.52 (+16.6%) | 11 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 8% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 26% ±26 | 57% ±43 | 5.8d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 206 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+13.6%) | 9.2 | 7.8% | 4.2d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 6% ±14 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 14% ±34 | 75% ±60 | 5.6d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,347.8 (+10.4%) | 7.0 | 2.3% | 16h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 17% ±12 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 1% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 32% ±26 | 58% ±43 | 5.5d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 4,137.93 (+5.0%) | 3.4 | 6.2% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 26% ±22 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 5% ±5 | 26% ±22 | 41% ±43 | 63% ±67 | 4.2d | 2.17% | 1.48% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,049.92 (+2.8%) | 1.9 | 2.1% | 9h | 105.3d ago · 18× | 24% ±48 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 9% ±13 | 23% ±48 | 38% | 47% | > 7d | — | — | 20 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,982.22 (+1.1%) | 0.7 | 3.3% | 17h | 22.8d ago · 46× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 79% ±23 | 79% ±57 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,968.68–4,036.38 (+0.7%) | 0.5 | 2.9% | 11h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 79% ±25 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 65% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 89% ±36 | 89% | 1h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,939.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,724.96 (-5.4%) | 3.7 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 31% ±16 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 8% ±4 | 31% ±16 | 47% ±29 | 64% ±42 | 3.5d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 191 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.