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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-14 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,645.68 (+13.5%) | 8.7 | 1.1% | 6h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±22 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 255 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,591.52 (+12.1%) | 7.9 | 3.0% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 13% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±27 | 63% ±42 | 5.3d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+9.3%) | 6.0 | 8.3% | 4.4d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 11% ±17 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 26% ±38 | 80% ±55 | 5.0d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 90 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,550.9 (+8.2%) | 5.3 | 2.3% | 13h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 14% ±17 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±16 | 36% ±38 | 58% ±56 | 6.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,267.56 (+4.2%) | 2.7 | 1.2% | 6h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 53% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 12% ±5 | 53% ±19 | 67% ±31 | 83% ±37 | 21h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 4,134.54 (+1.0%) | 0.6 | 6.6% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 87% ±16 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 68% ±9 | 87% ±16 | 90% ±24 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.48% | 99 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,094.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 4,036.38 (-1.4%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 77% ±58 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 67% ±26 | 80% ±55 | 80% | 80% | 2h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,941.6–4,036.38 (-1.4%) | 0.9 | 2.8% | 18h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 80% ±18 | 47% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 60% ±9 | 81% ±17 | 86% ±26 | 92% ±31 | 3h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 119 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,968.68 (-3.1%) | 2.0 | 3.4% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 46% ±27 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 19% ±9 | 48% ±27 | 56% ±49 | 63% ±67 | 2.3d | 2.68% | 1.17% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,723.89 (-9.0%) | 5.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 14% ±11 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 29% ±25 | 52% ±40 | 6.0d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 237 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 4,094.23 | 4,476.43 | 3,856.57 | expired | -2.92% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 4,094.23 | 4,489.97 | 3,926.71 | expired | -2.92% |