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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,645.68 (+12.9%) | 8.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 5% ±7 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 23% ±22 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 248 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,591.52 (+11.6%) | 7.2 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 14% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 37% ±27 | 60% ±43 | 5.6d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+8.8%) | 5.5 | 8.6% | 4.6d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 13% ±17 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±16 | 31% ±40 | 75% ±60 | 5.2d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,550.9 (+7.6%) | 4.7 | 2.5% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 15% ±16 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±15 | 32% ±34 | 53% ±56 | 6.8d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 117 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,209.73 (+2.3%) | 1.4 | 3.1% | 22h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 63% ±23 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 37% ±9 | 62% ±23 | 79% ±33 | 88% ±45 | 8h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,134.54 (+0.5%) | 0.3 | 7.3% | 1.9d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 93% ±13 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 77% ±9 | 93% ±13 | 94% ±20 | 97% ±25 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.48% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,114.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 4,036.38 (-1.9%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 73% ±61 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 47% ±24 | 74% ±50 | 74% | 74% | 6h | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,955.14–4,036.38 (-1.9%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 20h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 71% ±20 | 47% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 48% ±9 | 71% ±20 | 84% ±27 | 91% ±32 | 5h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 118 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,968.68 (-3.5%) | 2.2 | 3.6% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 38% ±25 | 60% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 14% ±7 | 38% ±25 | 48% ±44 | 54% ±69 | 3.2d | 2.68% | 1.17% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,723.89 (-9.5%) | 5.9 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 14% ±11 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 28% ±24 | 52% ±40 | 5.8d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 240 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.