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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,605.06–4,618.6 (+10.2%) | 6.9 | 2.1% | 20h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 11% ±10 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±10 | 31% ±25 | 54% ±44 | 5.5d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 229 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43–4,489.97 (+7.1%) | 4.8 | 8.1% | 4.4d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 15% ±19 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±19 | 32% ±41 | 72% ±62 | 5.4d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,429.04–4,550.9 (+6.0%) | 4.0 | 2.3% | 13h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 21% ±18 | 60% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 32% ±19 | 22 | 4% ±3 | 21% ±18 | 34% ±35 | 45% ±56 | > 7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,221.29 (+1.0%) | 0.7 | 2.0% | 11h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 84% ±19 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 64% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 92% ±24 | 93% ±35 | 2h | 1.84% | 1.94% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,180.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 4,122.97 (-1.4%) | 0.9 | 6.6% | 1.7d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 81% ±19 | 60% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 37% ±17 | 32 | 63% ±9 | 81% ±19 | 86% ±28 | 92% ±37 | 2h | 3.11% | 1.08% | 100 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,036.38 (-3.4%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 23% ±31 | building | building | building | building | 5 | 9% ±8 | 23% ±31 | 25% ±60 | 25% | > 7d | — | — | 44 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,955.14–4,036.38 (-3.4%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 56% ±24 | 47% ±17 | 19% ±14 | 33% ±16 | 33 | 18% ±8 | 55% ±24 | 78% ±36 | 84% ±50 | 21h | 2.66% | 1.52% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,982.22 (-4.7%) | 3.2 | 3.7% | 19h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 34% ±23 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 7% ±5 | 33% ±22 | 48% ±40 | 56% ±56 | 3.2d | 2.39% | 1.28% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,747.03 (-10.4%) | 7.0 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 11% ±10 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±9 | 21% ±21 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 257 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 4,180.13 | 4,221.29 | 3,747.03 | expired | -4.49% |