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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,605.06–4,618.6 (+15.9%) | 11 | 1.8% | 18h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 5% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 21% ±21 | 54% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 265 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43 (+12.6%) | 9.1 | 7.1% | 4.0d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 6% ±14 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±13 | 14% ±34 | 74% ±61 | 5.7d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,221.29 (+6.2%) | 4.5 | 1.8% | 10h | 3.4d ago · 97× | 32% ±14 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 5% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 48% ±27 | 67% ±38 | 3.4d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 241 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 4,122.97 (+3.7%) | 2.7 | 6.0% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 35% ±25 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±18 | 28 | 11% ±7 | 36% ±25 | 52% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 2.8d | 2.17% | 1.48% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,212.4 (+2.6%) | 1.8 | 2.9% | 10h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 42% ±23 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 15% ±7 | 42% ±23 | 55% ±40 | 57% ±69 | 1.5d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 101 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,022.84 (+1.2%) | 0.9 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,982.22 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 18h | 22.9d ago · 46× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 80% ±22 | 80% ±55 | 93% | 93% | 1h | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| at post · 3,974.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,781.73 (-4.9%) | 3.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 30% ±16 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 8% ±4 | 30% ±16 | 47% ±31 | 62% ±48 | 3.5d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 181 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.