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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,605.06–4,618.6 (+16.3%) | 12 | 1.7% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±20 | 53% ±40 | 6.7d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 252 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43 (+13.0%) | 10 | 6.6% | 3.7d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 5% ±12 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 12% ±32 | 74% ±61 | 5.7d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,276.05 (+8.0%) | 6.1 | 1.1% | 6h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 22% ±13 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±2 | 22% ±13 | 37% ±27 | 62% ±43 | 4.7d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 222 → 5 | |
| 7D POC | 4,122.46 (+4.1%) | 3.1 | 5.6% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 29% ±23 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 29% ±23 | 45% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 3.9d | 2.17% | 1.52% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,212.4 (+3.0%) | 2.3 | 2.7% | 9h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 38% ±22 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 12% ±6 | 38% ±22 | 50% ±40 | 53% ±57 | 6.8d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,022.84 (+1.6%) | 1.2 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 105.3d ago · 18× | 41% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 4 | 28% ±22 | 44% ±56 | 61% | 61% | 1.2d | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,968.68 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.2% | 12h | 22.8d ago · 46× | 80% ±55 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 81% ±20 | 81% ±54 | 94% | 94% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 3,960 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,809.58 (-3.8%) | 2.9 | 2.1% | 12h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 34% ±18 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 9% ±5 | 34% ±18 | 49% ±33 | 57% ±49 | 4.2d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 156 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 3,960 | 3,812.97 | 4,476.43 | expired | +2.79% |