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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,605.06–4,618.6 (+15.7%) | 12 | 1.7% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 19% ±20 | 54% ±40 | 6.5d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 260 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 4,476.43 (+12.5%) | 9.5 | 6.6% | 3.7d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 5% ±13 | 25% ±19 | 12% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 19 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±12 | 12% ±32 | 75% ±60 | 5.8d | 1.56% | 1.87% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,245.17 (+6.7%) | 5.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 30% ±14 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±2 | 30% ±14 | 44% ±27 | 66% ±38 | 3.8d | 1.84% | 1.94% | 240 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 4,128.4 (+3.7%) | 2.9 | 5.9% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 34% ±25 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 10% ±6 | 34% ±24 | 49% ±44 | 64% ±67 | 3.3d | 2.17% | 1.52% | 87 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,212.4 (+2.4%) | 1.9 | 2.7% | 9h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 41% ±23 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 14% ±7 | 41% ±23 | 55% ±40 | 56% ±69 | 1.6d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,022.84 (+1.1%) | 0.8 | 3.4% | 1.3d | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 4 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 3,979.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,968.68 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.4% | 14h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 81% ±34 | 56% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 63% ±17 | 81% ±34 | 81% ±54 | 81% | 2h | 2.39% | 1.28% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,811.46 (-4.2%) | 3.2 | 2.2% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 30% ±17 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 9% ±4 | 30% ±17 | 47% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 3.8d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 173 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.