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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,605.06 (+16.2%) | 12 | 1.8% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 22% ±23 | 53% ±44 | 6.5d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 207 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,456.12–4,476.43 (+12.4%) | 9.0 | 4.5% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 4% ±6 | 30% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 17% ±19 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 1.99% | 1.89% | 269 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,243.2 (+7.1%) | 5.1 | 0.9% | 4h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 29% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 29% ±14 | 44% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 3.8d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 242 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+5.1%) | 3.7 | 6.5% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 23% ±25 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 6% ±6 | 23% ±25 | 43% ±49 | 65% ±66 | 5.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,119.2 (+3.9%) | 2.9 | 5.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 34% ±25 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 10% ±6 | 32% ±24 | 49% ±44 | 63% ±67 | 3.4d | 2.17% | 1.52% | 92 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,212.4 (+2.9%) | 2.1 | 3.0% | 10h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 39% ±23 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 12% ±6 | 42% ±23 | 54% ±40 | 55% ±56 | 1.6d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,962.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,955.14 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.3% | 14h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 81% ±35 | 53% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 65% ±17 | 82% ±33 | 82% ±53 | 82% | 2h | 2.54% | 1.33% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,846.4 (-2.9%) | 2.1 | 1.8% | 7h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 39% ±23 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 14% ±7 | 39% ±23 | 52% ±40 | 57% ±56 | 2.2d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,779.12 (-4.6%) | 3.4 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 20% ±23 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±23 | 23% ±41 | 23% ±58 | > 7d | — | — | 72 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,962.79 | 4,476.43 | 3,838.15 | stop | -4.45% |