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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-16 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 4,605.06 (+19.6%) | 14 | 1.8% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 4% ±8 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±7 | 16% ±24 | 46% ±49 | > 7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 170 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH · 14D POC | 4,456.12–4,476.43 (+15.8%) | 11 | 4.4% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 3% ±5 | 30% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 62% ±22 | 19 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±18 | 50% ±37 | 6.9d | 1.99% | 1.89% | 273 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,203.52 (+9.2%) | 6.5 | 3.1% | 24h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 17% ±12 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 17% ±12 | 32% ±25 | 58% ±43 | 5.7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 225 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+8.2%) | 5.8 | 6.5% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 14% ±18 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±17 | 29% ±40 | 78% ±57 | 5.3d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,119.2 (+7.0%) | 4.9 | 5.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 9% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 27% ±35 | 53% ±69 | 6.1d | 2.17% | 1.52% | 100 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,955.14 (+2.7%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 15h | 22.8d ago · 46× | 47% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 27% ±24 | 47% ±69 | 87% | 87% | 2.0d | — | — | 13 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 3,941.6–4,049.92 (+2.4%) | 1.7 | 3.1% | 14h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 44% ±24 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 19% ±7 | 47% ±23 | 60% ±39 | 61% ±55 | 1.3d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,849.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,836.48 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.4% | 12h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 71% ±31 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 62% ±13 | 71% ±31 | 81% ±45 | 83% | 2h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,779.12 (-1.8%) | 1.3 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 77% ±47 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 48% ±21 | 78% ±40 | 78% | 78% | 6h | — | — | 21 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.