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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,442.58–4,456.12 (+13.2%) | 9.4 | 2.8% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 24% ±22 | 51% ±37 | 5.8d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,183.68 (+6.1%) | 4.4 | 6.5% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 27% ±13 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 4% ±3 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 4.2d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 256 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,119.2–4,124.39 (+4.9%) | 3.5 | 5.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 25% ±21 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 25% ±21 | 43% ±40 | 62% ±67 | 4.6d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 100 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,941.6–4,049.92 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 3.1% | 14h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 77% ±27 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 69% ±12 | 78% ±27 | 88% ±37 | 88% | 1h | 2.13% | 1.85% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,925.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,826.56 (-2.5%) | 1.8 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 42% ±23 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±23 | 56% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 1.7d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,779.12 (-3.7%) | 2.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 25% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 7% ±7 | 24% ±28 | 26% ±50 | 26% | > 7d | — | — | 52 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,724.96 (-5.1%) | 3.7 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 35% ±21 | 53% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 7% ±5 | 35% ±21 | 54% ±40 | 64% ±54 | 2.5d | 2.54% | 1.33% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.