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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,442.58–4,456.12 (+13.6%) | 9.8 | 2.8% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 23% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 5.9d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 279 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,190.74 (+6.5%) | 4.7 | 6.5% | 2.1d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 26% ±14 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±13 | 40% ±26 | 64% ±38 | 4.4d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 247 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,126.5 (+5.5%) | 3.9 | 5.8% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 19% ±19 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±18 | 38% ±39 | 60% ±68 | 5.4d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 101 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 78% ±27 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 68% ±12 | 78% ±26 | 88% ±36 | 88% | 1h | 2.13% | 1.85% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,910.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,834.91 (-1.9%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 51% ±23 | 58% ±21 | 17% ±16 | 25% ±19 | 21 | 35% ±9 | 51% ±23 | 65% ±38 | 68% ±53 | 20h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,779.12 (-3.4%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 28% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±8 | 28% ±31 | 30% ±52 | 30% | > 7d | — | — | 47 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,724.96 (-4.8%) | 3.4 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 38% ±22 | 53% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 10% ±6 | 38% ±22 | 55% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 2.3d | 2.54% | 1.33% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.