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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,401.96–4,429.04 (+18.7%) | 12 | 1.4% | 8h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 4% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±19 | 51% ±37 | 6.9d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 274 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,190.74 (+12.3%) | 7.9 | 6.8% | 2.2d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 8% ±9 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 23% ±25 | 61% ±43 | 5.9d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 204 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,126.5 (+11.2%) | 7.2 | 6.2% | 1.6d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 5% ±11 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 22% ±36 | 54% ±69 | 4.8d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 94 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+6.0%) | 3.8 | 3.1% | 15h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 21% ±17 | 58% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±18 | 32% ±35 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 2.13% | 1.85% | 125 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,834.91 (+3.4%) | 2.2 | 2.7% | 14h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 15% ±16 | 45% ±56 | 65% | 80% | 1.2d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (+0.5%) | 0.3 | 0.9% | 4h | 105.4d ago · 18× | building | building | building | building | building | 5 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| at post · 3,707.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,697.88 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 82% ±34 | 53% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 66% ±16 | 83% ±30 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 2h | 2.54% | 1.33% | 33 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 3,707.37 | 3,030.37 | 4,165.01 | expired | -4.51% |