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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,388.42–4,401.96 (+16.3%) | 10 | 1.8% | 15h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 6% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±21 | 50% ±37 | 6.7d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,190.74 (+10.4%) | 6.6 | 6.9% | 2.3d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 15% ±11 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±11 | 29% ±25 | 62% ±43 | 5.6d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,126.5 (+9.3%) | 5.9 | 6.3% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 6% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 22% ±33 | 49% ±69 | 6.4d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 99 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+4.1%) | 2.6 | 3.1% | 16h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 40% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±21 | 49% ±37 | 53% ±56 | 6.7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,825.02 (+1.4%) | 0.9 | 3.1% | 17h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 77% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 62% ±19 | 77% ±41 | 81% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| at post · 3,773.7 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,684.34–3,711.42 (-1.7%) | 1.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 61% ±27 | 53% ±26 | 18% ±20 | 29% ±24 | 14 | 34% ±11 | 62% ±26 | 67% ±46 | 70% ±64 | 12h | 2.54% | 1.33% | 78 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.