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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,361.34–4,388.42 (+15.2%) | 11 | 1.9% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 6% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 20% ±20 | 50% ±37 | 6.7d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 277 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,176.94 (+10.0%) | 7.0 | 6.3% | 2.1d | 3.2d ago · 97× | 14% ±11 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 28% ±25 | 62% ±43 | 5.7d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,136.75 (+8.9%) | 6.2 | 5.7% | 1.5d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 6% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±11 | 23% ±34 | 52% ±69 | 5.6d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 103 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+3.7%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 15h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 40% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 11% ±6 | 40% ±21 | 49% ±37 | 53% ±57 | 6.7d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 120 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,819.72 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 3.0% | 17h | 7.2d ago · 56× | 79% ±40 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 68% ±19 | 80% ±39 | 84% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 23 → 1 |
| at post · 3,786.64 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,684.34–3,711.42 (-2.0%) | 1.4 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 57% ±26 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 26% ±9 | 58% ±26 | 64% ±42 | 69% ±64 | 19h | 2.39% | 1.38% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.