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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-17 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,347.8–4,361.34 (+12.8%) | 9.4 | 1.9% | 15h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 24% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 5.8d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 282 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+8.0%) | 5.9 | 6.2% | 2.0d | 3.1d ago · 67× | 13% ±17 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±16 | 27% ±35 | 74% ±61 | 5.3d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 4,114.42–4,124.39 (+6.7%) | 4.9 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 25% ±13 | 38% ±17 | 7% ±9 | 55% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±13 | 40% ±26 | 61% ±39 | 3.9d | 1.94% | 1.83% | 252 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+1.9%) | 1.4 | 2.8% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 58% ±23 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 31% ±9 | 58% ±23 | 71% ±36 | 71% ±51 | 12h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,855.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,815.26 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 17h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 85% ±18 | 58% ±17 | 3% ±6 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 69% ±10 | 85% ±18 | 90% ±26 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 2.91% | 1.22% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,711.42–3,721.49 (-3.5%) | 2.6 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 34% ±20 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±20 | 48% ±35 | 53% ±56 | 1.6d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 139 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.4%) | 3.3 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 38% ±22 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±22 | 54% ±40 | 61% ±55 | 2.5d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 111 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.