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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-18 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,347.8–4,361.34 (+13.3%) | 9.9 | 1.9% | 14h | 3.3d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 23% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 6.0d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 280 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,201.61 (+9.5%) | 7.1 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 15% ±11 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±11 | 30% ±25 | 54% ±44 | 6.1d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 225 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 4,124.39–4,165.01 (+7.4%) | 5.6 | 5.4% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 9% ±14 | 39% ±18 | 10% ±11 | 51% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±13 | 24% ±34 | 59% ±56 | 5.8d | 1.84% | 1.71% | 108 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+2.3%) | 1.7 | 2.7% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 45% ±23 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 17% ±7 | 45% ±23 | 57% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 1.4d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 110 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,838.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 17h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 91% ±15 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 78% ±9 | 91% ±15 | 93% ±26 | 96% ±26 | 1h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,829.38 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.0% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 74% ±30 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 66% ±13 | 74% ±30 | 84% ±41 | 86% | 1h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 48 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-3.3%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 26% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±32 | 34% ±53 | 34% | > 7d | — | — | 50 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.0%) | 3.0 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 38% ±22 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±23 | 52% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 2.7d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,838.5 | 4,139.57 | 3,762.38 | expired | +0.74% |