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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-18 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,632.14–4,645.68 (+20.6%) | 15 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 25% ±60 | 57% | 4.8d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 42 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,347.8–4,361.34 (+13.2%) | 9.8 | 1.9% | 14h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 23% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 6.0d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,124.39–4,188.55 (+7.3%) | 5.4 | 5.5% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 12% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±10 | 27% ±24 | 57% ±40 | 5.9d | 1.86% | 1.75% | 233 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+2.2%) | 1.7 | 2.7% | 14h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 47% ±23 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 18% ±7 | 46% ±22 | 59% ±39 | 60% ±55 | 1.3d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,842.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 90% ±16 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 77% ±9 | 90% ±16 | 92% ±24 | 95% ±29 | 1h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 85 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,829.38 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 3.1% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 72% ±29 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 63% ±13 | 72% ±29 | 81% ±44 | 83% | 1h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-3.4%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 25% ±30 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 9% ±8 | 30% ±30 | 32% ±53 | 32% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.1%) | 3.0 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 39% ±22 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 11% ±6 | 39% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 58% ±56 | 2.5d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 112 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.