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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-18 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,632.14–4,645.68 (+19.6%) | 16 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 26% ±61 | 57% | 4.6d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,334.26–4,347.8 (+11.9%) | 10.0 | 2.0% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 7% ±7 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±7 | 23% ±21 | 51% ±37 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 283 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,182.01 (+7.5%) | 6.3 | 5.6% | 1.8d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 15% ±11 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 29% ±25 | 61% ±39 | 5.7d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 234 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,139.57 (+6.4%) | 5.4 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 7% ±12 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±12 | 23% ±34 | 47% ±69 | 6.4d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 102 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+1.4%) | 1.2 | 2.5% | 13h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 65% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 39% ±9 | 66% ±22 | 77% ±34 | 77% ±48 | 8h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,874.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,835.91 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 58% ±25 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 45% ±10 | 59% ±25 | 71% ±40 | 74% ±61 | 6h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 90 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-1.1%) | 0.9 | 2.6% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 83% ±16 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 60% ±9 | 83% ±16 | 88% ±25 | 92% ±30 | 2h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 126 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.2%) | 3.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 22% ±22 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±21 | 24% ±37 | 24% ±59 | > 7d | — | — | 84 → 2 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.9%) | 4.1 | 0.4% | 56m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 34% ±21 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 6% ±4 | 35% ±21 | 57% ±37 | 68% ±53 | 2.2d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 122 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.