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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,632.14–4,645.68 (+19.3%) | 20 | 0.4% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 3% ±15 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 6% ±34 | 48% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 4,334.26–4,347.8 (+11.7%) | 12 | 1.7% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 5% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 18% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 7.0d | 2.08% | 2.13% | 278 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,165.01–4,182.01 (+7.3%) | 7.4 | 4.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 8% ±9 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 24% ±24 | 59% ±43 | 6.3d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 218 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,139.57 (+6.3%) | 6.3 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 5% ±10 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 22% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 5.3d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 105 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+1.2%) | 1.2 | 2.0% | 11h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 64% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 38% ±9 | 64% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 75% ±49 | 9h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,881.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,842.44 (-1.0%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 56% ±24 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 42% ±10 | 56% ±24 | 67% ±41 | 71% ±63 | 8h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 98 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 72% ±20 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 46% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 84% ±27 | 91% ±32 | 6h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.4%) | 4.4 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 15% ±17 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 5% ±4 | 15% ±16 | 21% ±32 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | — | — | 107 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-5.1%) | 5.1 | 0.3% | 43m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 25% ±16 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 4% ±3 | 25% ±16 | 46% ±33 | 69% ±45 | 3.6d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 163 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.