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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-18 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.5%) | 24 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 5% ±24 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±20 | 9% | 38% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 22 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,347.8 (+12.5%) | 15 | 1.2% | 8h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 12% ±18 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 226 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,320.72 (+11.8%) | 15 | 1.3% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 70× | 4% ±7 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±22 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 169 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,182.01 (+8.2%) | 10 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 97× | 3% ±6 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 20% ±25 | 49% ±49 | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 181 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+7.8%) | 9.6 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 6% ±12 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 16% ±32 | 69% ±64 | 5.2d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 4,124.39–4,139.57 (+6.7%) | 8.3 | 3.4% | 21h | 3.3d ago · 104× | 4% ±10 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 16% ±32 | 52% ±69 | 4.9d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 90 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+1.7%) | 2.1 | 1.6% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 42% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 12% ±6 | 45% ±22 | 56% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 1.4d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 118 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,863.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,842.44 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 1.6% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 65% ±26 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 52% ±11 | 67% ±26 | 77% ±42 | 80% ±55 | 4h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 79 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-0.8%) | 1.0 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 81% ±17 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 58% ±8 | 80% ±17 | 86% ±26 | 92% ±30 | 3h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-3.9%) | 4.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.5d ago · 31× | 12% ±15 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 21% ±33 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | — | — | 116 → 3 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.6%) | 5.7 | 0.2% | 34m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 19% ±14 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±14 | 41% ±30 | 67% ±46 | 4.3d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 179 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.