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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-19 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.4%) | 28 | 0.2% | 56m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 7% ±35 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 47% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,334.26 (+12.1%) | 18 | 1.2% | 10h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±18 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 194 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,320.72 (+11.7%) | 17 | 1.1% | 8h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 1% ±4 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±18 | 34% ±54 | > 7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,181.06 (+8.1%) | 12 | 2.7% | 24h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 1% ±5 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 16% ±25 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 143 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+7.7%) | 11 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 5% ±11 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 15% ±31 | 69% ±64 | 5.0d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,121.97–4,124.39 (+6.6%) | 9.6 | 2.8% | 18h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 3% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 14% ±30 | 47% ±69 | 5.1d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 93 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,928.06–4,049.92 (+1.6%) | 2.3 | 1.4% | 8h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 40% ±22 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 12% ±6 | 42% ±21 | 53% ±37 | 56% ±56 | 1.5d | 2.14% | 1.70% | 126 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,867.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,863.83 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 77% ±29 | 56% ±21 | 16% ±15 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 69% ±13 | 78% ±27 | 86% ±39 | 88% | 1h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 52 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 71% ±20 | 47% ±17 | 18% ±13 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 45% ±9 | 70% ±20 | 82% ±28 | 90% ±33 | 7h | 2.66% | 1.54% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.0%) | 5.9 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 6% ±9 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±9 | 16% ±24 | 30% ±45 | > 7d | — | — | 157 → 4 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-4.7%) | 6.9 | 0.2% | 29m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 14% ±12 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 37% ±29 | 61% ±43 | 4.9d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 205 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.