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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-19 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+18.4%) | 29 | 0.1% | 30m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 7% ±36 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 50% | 4.1d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 18 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,334.26 (+11.1%) | 18 | 1.1% | 9h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 11% ±18 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 196 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,293.64 (+10.1%) | 16 | 0.7% | 6h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 3% ±6 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 11% ±20 | 38% ±48 | > 7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 159 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,181.06 (+7.2%) | 11 | 2.6% | 22h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 1% ±5 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 17% ±26 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 151 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+6.8%) | 11 | 3.0% | 24h | 3.0d ago · 67× | 5% ±11 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 15% ±31 | 68% ±65 | 5.0d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,121.97–4,124.39 (+5.7%) | 8.9 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 3% ±9 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 16% ±32 | 49% ±69 | 4.8d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 96 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,914.52–4,036.38 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 80% ±24 | 59% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 63% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 89% ±30 | 89% ±43 | 2h | 2.14% | 1.70% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,901.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,870.05 (-0.8%) | 1.3 | 1.2% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 55% ±23 | 54% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 39% ±9 | 56% ±22 | 69% ±37 | 72% ±51 | 9h | 2.52% | 0.87% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-1.7%) | 2.8 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 55% ±24 | 46% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 14% ±7 | 55% ±23 | 76% ±34 | 83% ±43 | 23h | 2.54% | 1.53% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.9%) | 7.7 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 2% ±5 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 13% ±20 | 30% ±40 | > 7d | — | — | 191 → 5 |
| 14D VAL | 3,684.34 (-5.6%) | 8.8 | 0.2% | 27m | 2.8d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 25% ±24 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 234 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.