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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-19 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.6%) | 27 | 0.2% | 36m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 5% ±25 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 4% ±8 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 36% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 24 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,334.26 (+12.3%) | 17 | 1.3% | 11h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 10% ±17 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 211 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,280.1 (+10.8%) | 15 | 0.7% | 4h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 4% ±7 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±7 | 13% ±21 | 41% ±48 | > 7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,181.06 (+8.3%) | 11 | 3.0% | 1.1d | 3.3d ago · 97× | 1% ±4 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 17% ±25 | 48% ±49 | > 7d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 154 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+7.9%) | 11 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 67× | 5% ±11 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 15% ±31 | 67% ±65 | 5.0d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 4,121.97–4,124.39 (+6.8%) | 9.1 | 3.0% | 19h | 3.1d ago · 104× | 3% ±8 | 45% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 14% ±30 | 47% ±69 | 4.9d | 2.11% | 1.63% | 98 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,914.52–4,036.38 (+1.4%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 8h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 46% ±22 | 57% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 14% ±6 | 49% ±22 | 61% ±36 | 61% ±55 | 1.1d | 2.13% | 1.55% | 117 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,876.27 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 1.6% | 15h | 7.1d ago · 56× | 84% ±36 | 46% ±31 | 8% ±17 | 46% ±31 | 10 | 72% ±18 | 84% ±36 | 88% | 92% | 1h | 2.53% | 1.94% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,861.22 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-0.7%) | 1.0 | 1.7% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 81% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 57% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 87% ±25 | 93% ±30 | 3h | 2.54% | 1.53% | 134 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,697.88–3,711.42 (-3.9%) | 5.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 15% ±13 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±13 | 32% ±29 | 50% ±49 | 4.3d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 182 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,861.22 | 3,556.43 | 4,121.97 | expired | -4.73% |