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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+17.2%) | 16 | 0.3% | 54m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 25% ±49 | 57% | 4.8d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,307.18 (+9.3%) | 8.9 | 1.4% | 10h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 19% ±19 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,212.4 (+6.9%) | 6.6 | 1.6% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 15% ±12 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 37% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 5.9d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 209 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 4,149.96–4,165.01 (+5.3%) | 5.1 | 4.8% | 1.4d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 23% ±13 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 37% ±25 | 62% ±39 | 4.7d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 258 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 4,124.39 (+4.7%) | 4.4 | 4.4% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 13% ±20 | 27% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 68% ±21 | 19 | 1% ±3 | 12% ±19 | 25% ±43 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 2.01% | 1.80% | 65 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+3.5%) | 3.3 | 2.2% | 8h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 32% ±20 | 57% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 6% ±4 | 34% ±19 | 44% ±34 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 2.13% | 1.55% | 140 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,978.9 (+1.0%) | 0.9 | 3.6% | 21h | 3.1d ago · 104× | 83% ±17 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 63% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 86% ±27 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 2.17% | 1.52% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,940.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,851.39 (-2.3%) | 2.1 | 1.9% | 12h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 40% ±22 | 54% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 27% ±18 | 23 | 16% ±7 | 40% ±22 | 54% ±40 | 59% ±56 | 1.8d | 2.52% | 0.87% | 116 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–3,833.28 (-2.7%) | 2.6 | 2.4% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 54% ±24 | 46% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 16% ±7 | 55% ±24 | 79% ±33 | 84% ±50 | 22h | 2.54% | 1.53% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,697.88–3,711.42 (-5.8%) | 5.5 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 14% ±12 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 29% ±28 | 49% ±49 | 4.4d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 187 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,940.25 | 3,851.39 | 4,149.96 | expired | -0.77% |