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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+14.0%) | 12 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±9 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 30% ±52 | 59% | 4.8d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,307.18 (+6.3%) | 5.5 | 1.5% | 11h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 14% ±13 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±2 | 14% ±13 | 34% ±31 | 54% ±49 | 6.5d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 156 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,212.4 (+3.9%) | 3.5 | 1.8% | 12h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 38% ±25 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 10% ±6 | 38% ±25 | 64% ±42 | 70% ±63 | 1.7d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 4,149.96–4,165.01 (+2.4%) | 2.1 | 5.3% | 1.5d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 47% ±21 | 37% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 50% ±18 | 31 | 17% ±7 | 47% ±21 | 63% ±36 | 76% ±48 | 2.0d | 1.60% | 1.88% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 4,124.39 (+1.8%) | 1.6 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 79× | 62% ±30 | 27% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 68% ±21 | 19 | 35% ±12 | 62% ±30 | 73% ±50 | 79% | 10h | 2.01% | 1.80% | 61 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 2.5% | 8h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 81% ±23 | 57% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 64% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.55% | 71 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,052.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 3,900.98–4,049.92 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 93% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 21% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 78% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 93% ±22 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 2.54% | 1.53% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,978.9 (-1.8%) | 1.6 | 4.0% | 23h | 2.9d ago · 106× | 64% ±24 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 32% ±10 | 64% ±24 | 75% ±38 | 85% ±50 | 10h | 2.91% | 1.08% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,857.61 (-4.8%) | 4.2 | 2.1% | 16h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 27% ±14 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±14 | 46% ±28 | 63% ±42 | 3.7d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 220 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 3,697.88–3,711.42 (-8.4%) | 7.4 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 6% ±8 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 23% ±24 | 43% ±43 | 6.1d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 218 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.