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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+17.0%) | 17 | 0.2% | 50m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 13% ±37 | 50% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 45 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,456.12–4,496.74 (+12.9%) | 13 | 2.3% | 22h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 14% ±26 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±26 | 44% ±69 | 88% | 3.5d | 2.11% | 1.70% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,293.64 (+8.8%) | 8.9 | 1.1% | 8h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±19 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 286 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,185.32 (+6.0%) | 6.1 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 17% ±13 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±13 | 41% ±29 | 60% ±43 | 5.6d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 199 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+5.5%) | 5.6 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 13% ±16 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 26% ±35 | 61% ±55 | 5.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 4,124.39–4,125.08 (+4.5%) | 4.5 | 4.1% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 26% ±13 | 38% ±17 | 7% ±9 | 55% ±18 | 31 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±25 | 58% ±39 | 3.9d | 1.94% | 1.83% | 264 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,978.9 (+0.8%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 84% ±17 | 56% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 67% ±9 | 84% ±17 | 88% ±26 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.52% | 110 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,947.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,857.61 (-2.3%) | 2.3 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 40% ±21 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 15% ±6 | 39% ±21 | 55% ±37 | 61% ±55 | 1.7d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,711.42–3,724.96 (-5.6%) | 5.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 59× | 12% ±12 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±11 | 28% ±27 | 49% ±44 | 4.4d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 190 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,947.76 | 3,857.61 | 4,125.08 | target | -2.03% |