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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-20 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+15.6%) | 16 | 0.2% | 50m | 2.0d ago · 50× | 2% ±10 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 24% ±48 | 56% | 4.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 53 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,456.12–4,496.74 (+11.5%) | 12 | 2.3% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 83× | 12% ±22 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±21 | 40% ±56 | 87% | 3.8d | 2.11% | 1.70% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,280.1 (+7.1%) | 7.2 | 0.9% | 5h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 6% ±8 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±22 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,185.32 (+4.7%) | 4.8 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 3.4d ago · 70× | 25% ±17 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±16 | 50% ±33 | 63% ±47 | 2.8d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 164 → 4 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+4.2%) | 4.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 3.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±19 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±4 | 13% ±18 | 27% ±39 | 53% ±69 | 6.8d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC | 4,106.42–4,124.39 (+2.7%) | 2.8 | 3.4% | 22h | 3.3d ago · 97× | 45% ±18 | 38% ±17 | 7% ±9 | 55% ±18 | 31 | 10% ±5 | 44% ±18 | 60% ±30 | 73% ±43 | 2.2d | 1.94% | 1.83% | 175 → 4 | |
| at post · 3,996.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,978.9 (-0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.6% | 21h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 86% ±18 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 72% ±10 | 86% ±18 | 89% ±27 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 2.91% | 1.08% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,857.61 (-3.5%) | 3.6 | 1.8% | 14h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 32% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 8% ±4 | 31% ±16 | 50% ±30 | 64% ±42 | 3.1d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 202 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 3,711.42–3,724.96 (-6.8%) | 7.0 | 0.9% | 4h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 25% ±24 | 46% ±44 | 5.3d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 215 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 3,996.77 | 4,106.42 | 3,857.61 | stop | -1.11% |