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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.1%) | 21 | 0.2% | 45m | 1.7d ago · 50× | 2% ±11 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 6% ±26 | 48% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,266.56 (+10.0%) | 11 | 0.6% | 3h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 3% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±17 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 298 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,185.32 (+7.9%) | 8.7 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 10% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±9 | 28% ±23 | 53% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 261 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 4,165.01 (+7.4%) | 8.1 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 10% ±14 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 17% ±30 | 60% ±55 | 5.7d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 109 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,085.29 (+5.3%) | 5.8 | 2.2% | 9h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 23% ±13 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 3% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 36% ±25 | 59% ±39 | 5.3d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 250 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+5.1%) | 5.6 | 1.9% | 7h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 16% ±16 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±16 | 34% ±38 | 56% ±56 | 6.6d | 2.11% | 1.70% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,975.45–3,978.99 (+2.5%) | 2.7 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 104× | 32% ±23 | 44% ±18 | 5% ±8 | 51% ±18 | 30 | 10% ±6 | 31% ±23 | 47% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 3.8d | 2.10% | 1.66% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,878.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,845.44 (-0.9%) | 0.9 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 60% ±23 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 45% ±10 | 60% ±23 | 72% ±36 | 75% ±60 | 6h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 102 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,752.04 (-3.3%) | 3.6 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 34% ±21 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 7% ±5 | 34% ±20 | 51% ±37 | 62% ±55 | 2.9d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.3%) | 4.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 12% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±14 | 19% ±29 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | — | — | 122 → 3 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.