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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+14.7%) | 14 | 0.3% | 57m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 26% ±50 | 56% | 4.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+5.2%) | 4.9 | 0.7% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 20% ±17 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±17 | 43% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.4d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 132 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,165.01–4,175.02 (+3.4%) | 3.1 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 70× | 32% ±24 | 36% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 21 | 9% ±6 | 31% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 65% ±66 | 3.6d | 1.67% | 2.08% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,079.84 (+1.3%) | 1.2 | 2.6% | 10h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 70% ±22 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 49% ±10 | 70% ±22 | 81% ±31 | 87% ±46 | 5h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 103 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 2.6% | 10h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 68% ±20 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 40% ±9 | 68% ±20 | 80% ±30 | 80% ±45 | 8h | 2.11% | 1.70% | 121 → 3 | |
| at post · 4,028.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,972.59 (-1.4%) | 1.3 | 3.9% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 72% ±24 | 48% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 44% ±20 | 24 | 55% ±11 | 72% ±24 | 87% ±33 | 91% ±39 | 4h | 2.34% | 1.89% | 80 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,875.42 (-3.8%) | 3.5 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 34% ±21 | 59% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 6% ±4 | 34% ±21 | 55% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 2.3d | 2.91% | 1.08% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,845.44 (-4.5%) | 4.2 | 2.3% | 14h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 27% ±15 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 6% ±3 | 29% ±15 | 49% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 3.3d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,781.73 (-6.1%) | 5.7 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 19% ±14 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±14 | 39% ±29 | 66% ±41 | 4.4d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 193 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-7.9%) | 7.3 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 3% ±6 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 13% ±20 | 31% ±41 | > 7d | — | — | 196 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,028.02 | 3,875.42 | 4,122.03 | target | +4.81% |