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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+16.9%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 27% ±50 | 56% | 4.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+7.3%) | 6.1 | 0.8% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 10% ±11 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±11 | 28% ±28 | 47% ±49 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 185 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,165.01–4,175.02 (+5.4%) | 4.5 | 5.4% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 70× | 21% ±16 | 36% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 21 | 3% ±3 | 20% ±15 | 41% ±32 | 59% ±48 | 2.8d | 1.67% | 2.08% | 160 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+3.2%) | 2.6 | 2.8% | 11h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 46% ±21 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 11% ±5 | 46% ±21 | 54% ±37 | 58% ±56 | 1.3d | 2.11% | 1.70% | 132 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,068.94 (+3.0%) | 2.5 | 2.7% | 11h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 51% ±19 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 13% ±5 | 52% ±19 | 65% ±31 | 79% ±40 | 22h | 1.89% | 1.84% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,972.59–3,989.9 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 4.4% | 1.1d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 85% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 5% ±8 | 51% ±18 | 30 | 70% ±8 | 86% ±16 | 89% ±25 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.10% | 1.66% | 112 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,952.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,845.44 (-2.7%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 39% ±21 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 16% ±6 | 40% ±21 | 57% ±37 | 61% ±55 | 1.5d | 2.57% | 0.98% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,793.3 (-4.0%) | 3.4 | 1.7% | 9h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 37% ±21 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 10% ±5 | 36% ±21 | 52% ±37 | 59% ±56 | 2.5d | 2.39% | 1.38% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-6.1%) | 5.1 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 10% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 18% ±27 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | — | — | 141 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 3,952.27 | 3,845.44 | 4,068.94 | target | +4.37% |
| 14d | POC | short | 3,952.27 | 3,793.3 | 4,175.02 | target | +4.37% |