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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+20.3%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 25% ±42 | 55% ±69 | 4.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+10.4%) | 7.4 | 0.9% | 5h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 6% ±7 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 21% ±21 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 260 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,165.01–4,175.02 (+8.5%) | 6.0 | 6.1% | 2.1d | 3.0d ago · 70× | 14% ±12 | 36% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 34% ±28 | 59% ±43 | 5.9d | 1.67% | 2.08% | 206 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,058.04 (+5.7%) | 4.0 | 3.2% | 14h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 33% ±15 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 6% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 50% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 3.2d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 245 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,972.59 (+3.4%) | 2.4 | 5.0% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 40% ±30 | 27% ±20 | 5% ±9 | 68% ±21 | 19 | 16% ±9 | 42% ±31 | 55% ±56 | 65% | 2.6d | 2.01% | 1.80% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,875.42 (+0.9%) | 0.6 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 86% ±16 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 68% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 89% ±25 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.58% | 109 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 3,860.36–4,063.46 (+0.5%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 9.5d ago · 82× | 78% ±25 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 65% ±11 | 78% ±23 | 90% ±30 | 90% ±42 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.70% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,845.44 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 18h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 88% ±32 | 43% ±29 | 7% ±15 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 76% ±17 | 88% ±32 | 88% | 92% | 1h | 1.97% | 2.33% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,840.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 3,793.3 (-1.2%) | 0.9 | 1.9% | 10h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 69% ±27 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 48% ±12 | 69% ±27 | 73% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 6h | 2.39% | 1.38% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-3.0%) | 2.1 | 1.3% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 38% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 13% ±10 | 38% ±36 | 38% ±67 | 38% | > 7d | — | — | 43 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,840.39 | 3,627.79 | 3,875.42 | stop | +0.69% |