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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.1%) | 14 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 25% ±42 | 55% ±69 | 4.9d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+9.0%) | 6.8 | 1.3% | 8h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 7% ±8 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 24% ±23 | 45% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 236 → 6 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 4,165.01–4,175.02 (+7.4%) | 5.6 | 5.9% | 2.0d | 3.0d ago · 70× | 15% ±12 | 36% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±28 | 58% ±43 | 6.0d | 1.67% | 2.08% | 203 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,198.86 (+5.2%) | 3.9 | 3.0% | 12h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 26% ±18 | 59% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 31% ±18 | 26 | 4% ±3 | 27% ±18 | 38% ±34 | 47% ±56 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.70% | 138 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,052.58 (+4.5%) | 3.4 | 3.1% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 39% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 7% ±3 | 39% ±16 | 54% ±28 | 71% ±40 | 1.9d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 3,972.59 (+2.5%) | 1.9 | 4.8% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 53% ±33 | 30% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 20 | 23% ±11 | 54% ±31 | 68% ±53 | 75% | 20h | 2.02% | 1.85% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,876.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 3,875.42 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 2.8d ago · 106× | 89% ±19 | 58% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 39% ±16 | 35 | 77% ±10 | 89% ±19 | 91% ±27 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 2.91% | 1.22% | 68 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,845.44 (-0.8%) | 0.6 | 2.9% | 19h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 70% ±24 | 56% ±20 | 19% ±16 | 26% ±18 | 24 | 54% ±11 | 71% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 82% ±53 | 4h | 2.57% | 0.98% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,793.3 (-2.2%) | 1.6 | 1.8% | 9h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 52% ±26 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 24% ±9 | 52% ±26 | 58% ±43 | 63% ±67 | 19h | 2.39% | 1.38% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-3.9%) | 3.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 26% ±26 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 9% ±7 | 26% ±26 | 27% ±44 | 27% ±62 | > 7d | — | — | 68 → 2 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,876.92 | 3,875.42 | 3,808.15 | target | -1.11% |