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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+20.1%) | 15 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.9d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 23% ±41 | 54% ±69 | 5.1d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+9.9%) | 7.2 | 1.2% | 7h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 6% ±7 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 22% ±22 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 258 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 4,163.46–4,165.01 (+8.3%) | 6.0 | 5.8% | 2.0d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 15% ±12 | 36% ±21 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 33% ±27 | 58% ±43 | 6.0d | 1.67% | 2.08% | 207 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,198.86 (+6.4%) | 4.7 | 3.6% | 18h | 9.7d ago · 82× | 18% ±16 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±3 | 19% ±16 | 33% ±35 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.85% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,038.42 (+5.0%) | 3.7 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 3.4d ago · 97× | 37% ±15 | 44% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 7% ±3 | 37% ±15 | 52% ±27 | 68% ±37 | 2.4d | 1.89% | 1.84% | 240 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,972.59 (+3.3%) | 2.4 | 5.0% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 40% ±30 | 30% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 20 | 15% ±9 | 41% ±29 | 54% ±49 | 64% ±66 | 2.6d | 2.02% | 1.85% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+0.8%) | 0.6 | 3.8% | 1.6d | 3.2d ago · 104× | 87% ±16 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 69% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 89% ±25 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.58% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,844.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,837.22 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 3.4% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 77% ±27 | 57% ±19 | 18% ±15 | 25% ±17 | 25 | 67% ±12 | 79% ±25 | 87% ±38 | 89% | 1h | 2.61% | 1.10% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,793.3 (-1.3%) | 1.0 | 2.0% | 10h | 2.9d ago · 59× | 63% ±27 | 50% ±25 | 17% ±19 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 43% ±11 | 64% ±27 | 70% ±45 | 71% ±63 | 7h | 2.39% | 1.38% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-3.1%) | 2.3 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 31× | 35% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 9% ±8 | 34% ±31 | 36% ±54 | 36% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,844.79 | 3,874.4 | 3,801 | target | +0.18% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,844.79 | 3,972.59 | 3,726.67 | stop | +0.18% |