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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+20.5%) | 16 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 50× | 2% ±8 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 20% ±39 | 52% ±69 | 5.1d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+10.2%) | 8.2 | 1.0% | 7h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 21% ±20 | 41% ±36 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 288 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,163.46 (+8.6%) | 6.9 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 70× | 13% ±11 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±10 | 33% ±26 | 54% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 240 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 4,137.93 (+7.9%) | 6.3 | 5.1% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 10% ±13 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 20% ±30 | 57% ±56 | 6.1d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 127 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,198.86 (+6.7%) | 5.3 | 3.3% | 16h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 17% ±16 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 2% ±3 | 17% ±16 | 35% ±35 | 54% ±56 | 6.8d | 2.09% | 1.85% | 121 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,038.42 (+5.3%) | 4.3 | 3.3% | 23h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 32% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 47% ±25 | 64% ±38 | 3.7d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 264 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+1.0%) | 0.8 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 84% ±16 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 67% ±9 | 84% ±17 | 88% ±26 | 95% ±25 | 1h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 116 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,837.22 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.5% | 22h | 7.0d ago · 56× | 88% ±32 | 40% ±28 | 7% ±14 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 76% ±17 | 88% ±32 | 88% | 92% | 1h | 1.72% | 2.49% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,834.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 14D VAL | 3,804.86–3,822.21 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.5% | 21h | 2.7d ago · 85× | 78% ±25 | 49% ±20 | 11% ±13 | 40% ±20 | 24 | 62% ±12 | 78% ±24 | 85% ±35 | 86% ±48 | 2h | 2.36% | 1.69% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-2.8%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 35% ±33 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 9% ±8 | 33% ±31 | 35% ±54 | 35% | > 7d | — | — | 54 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 3,834.23 | 3,633.02 | 3,874.4 | stop | -2.14% |