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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-22 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+22.2%) | 18 | 0.3% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±9 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 6% ±27 | 44% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+11.8%) | 9.7 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±18 | 42% ±37 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 307 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,150.9 (+9.8%) | 8.1 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 11% ±9 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±9 | 29% ±23 | 53% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,047.17 (+7.1%) | 5.8 | 2.9% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 24% ±13 | 46% ±17 | 9% ±10 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 3% ±2 | 24% ±13 | 37% ±25 | 59% ±39 | 5.2d | 1.92% | 1.62% | 256 → 6 | |
| 30D POC | 4,002.53 (+5.9%) | 4.9 | 5.0% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 13% ±16 | 22% ±21 | 22% ±21 | 56% ±25 | 15 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±15 | 23% ±34 | 49% ±57 | > 7d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 108 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+2.5%) | 2.1 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 47% ±26 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 15% ±8 | 47% ±26 | 59% ±43 | 73% ±61 | 2.1d | 2.17% | 1.63% | 83 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,819.74–4,049.92 (+1.1%) | 0.9 | 3.4% | 21h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 72% ±20 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 48% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 85% ±29 | 85% ±41 | 5h | 2.09% | 1.85% | 114 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 3,815.27–3,837.22 (+0.9%) | 0.8 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.0d ago · 79× | 80% ±25 | 34% ±21 | 5% ±10 | 61% ±21 | 20 | 65% ±12 | 80% ±24 | 85% ±35 | 89% ±44 | 2h | 1.91% | 2.09% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,786.83 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.9% | 9h | 22.8d ago · 46× | 82% ±43 | 31% ±29 | 8% ±17 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 82% ±19 | 82% ±43 | 94% | 94% | 1h | 2.70% | 2.78% | 15 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,779.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-1.4%) | 1.2 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 80% ±39 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 46% ±20 | 78% ±41 | 78% | 78% | 9h | — | — | 24 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 3,779.44 | 3,415.37 | 3,815.27 | stop | -1.27% |