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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-23 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+21.1%) | 19 | 0.3% | 57m | 1.9d ago · 50× | 2% ±9 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±22 | 42% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+10.8%) | 9.5 | 0.9% | 6h | 21.4d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 41% ±36 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 308 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,145.08 (+8.7%) | 7.7 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 3.3d ago · 70× | 12% ±10 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 31% ±24 | 54% ±40 | 6.3d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 260 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,185.32 (+7.3%) | 6.4 | 2.9% | 14h | 9.6d ago · 82× | 15% ±17 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 36% ±38 | 59% ±56 | 6.4d | 2.09% | 1.85% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,002.53–4,012.18 (+4.9%) | 4.4 | 4.7% | 1.7d | 3.1d ago · 97× | 25% ±13 | 38% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±12 | 39% ±25 | 59% ±36 | 3.9d | 1.62% | 1.73% | 278 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+1.6%) | 1.4 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 3.1d ago · 104× | 72% ±21 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 42% ±9 | 73% ±21 | 80% ±32 | 89% ±43 | 6h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 104 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 3,817.02 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 20h | 3.1d ago · 79× | 89% ±23 | 30% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 20 | 83% ±11 | 89% ±21 | 91% ±32 | 94% | 1h | 2.02% | 1.85% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,813.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,789.1–3,789.22 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 1.9% | 10h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 72% ±24 | 54% ±20 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±18 | 25 | 55% ±11 | 74% ±23 | 81% ±34 | 82% ±53 | 3h | 2.53% | 1.20% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-2.3%) | 2.1 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 41% ±36 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 17% ±11 | 49% ±35 | 49% ±57 | 57% | 4.7d | — | — | 45 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 3,813.92 | 3,874.4 | 3,748.95 | target | +1.36% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 3,813.92 | 3,817.02 | 3,725.17 | target | +1.36% |