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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-23 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+20.5%) | 18 | 0.3% | 56m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 2% ±9 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 4% ±22 | 41% | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+10.2%) | 9.2 | 0.9% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 4% ±5 | 36% ±28 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 11 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 40% ±36 | > 7d | 1.95% | 2.06% | 305 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,151.77 (+8.3%) | 7.5 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 3.2d ago · 70× | 12% ±10 | 46% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 50% ±21 | 21 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 31% ±24 | 53% ±40 | 6.4d | 2.15% | 2.17% | 260 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 4,090.54–4,185.32 (+6.7%) | 6.0 | 2.9% | 14h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 15% ±17 | 57% ±19 | 10% ±11 | 33% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 35% ±38 | 58% ±56 | 6.4d | 2.09% | 1.85% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 4,002.53–4,012.18 (+4.4%) | 4.0 | 4.6% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 97× | 27% ±13 | 38% ±17 | 13% ±12 | 49% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±25 | 60% ±39 | 3.7d | 1.62% | 1.73% | 266 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 3,874.4 (+1.1%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 1.3d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 83% ±16 | 53% ±18 | 6% ±8 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 61% ±8 | 83% ±16 | 86% ±26 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 2.17% | 1.63% | 127 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,834.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 3,818.24 (-0.4%) | 0.4 | 3.3% | 22h | 2.9d ago · 85× | 83% ±22 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 72% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 92% ±27 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.92% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 3,789.1–3,791.77 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 1.9% | 10h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 61% ±23 | 54% ±20 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±18 | 25 | 44% ±9 | 62% ±22 | 71% ±36 | 74% ±50 | 6h | 2.53% | 1.20% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-2.8%) | 2.6 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 29% ±28 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 8% ±7 | 34% ±28 | 36% ±47 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | — | — | 63 → 2 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.