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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-28 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+11.8%) | 13 | 0.2% | 49m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 1% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 20% ±35 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 88 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,469.66–4,483.2 (+8.1%) | 8.9 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 9.5d ago · 82× | 13% ±16 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±15 | 39% ±39 | 67% ±53 | 4.3d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 116 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+2.6%) | 2.8 | 0.8% | 4h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 48% ±27 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 10% ±6 | 48% ±25 | 68% ±41 | 79% ±56 | 1.2d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,132.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 4,124.39 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 2.9d ago · 72× | 80% ±28 | 70% ±20 | 4% ±9 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 72% ±13 | 80% ±28 | 84% ±41 | 88% | 1h | 3.28% | 0.70% | 48 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 4,078.4–4,088.99 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 2.8% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 65× | 73% ±27 | 54% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 41% ±21 | 21 | 45% ±12 | 75% ±25 | 84% ±36 | 84% ±51 | 5h | 2.70% | 1.68% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 3,806.2–4,009.3 (-3.0%) | 3.3 | 2.5% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 49% ±22 | 50% ±16 | 19% ±12 | 31% ±15 | 39 | 11% ±5 | 48% ±22 | 74% ±32 | 82% ±44 | 1.0d | 2.76% | 1.52% | 121 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,856.65–3,871.79 (-6.3%) | 6.9 | 3.3% | 1.4d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 10% ±11 | 52% ±16 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 20% ±24 | 45% ±44 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.52% | 189 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.86 (-7.9%) | 8.6 | 2.3% | 14h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 7% ±8 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 26% ±22 | 47% ±40 | > 7d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,760.98 (-9.0%) | 9.8 | 1.3% | 5h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 4% ±5 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 12% ±16 | 34% ±35 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 290 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-10.2%) | 11 | 0.7% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 31× | 2% ±4 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 12% ±16 | 32% ±35 | > 7d | — | — | 292 → 7 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 4,132.92 | 4,239.48 | 3,711.42 | expired | -4.16% |