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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-28 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,440 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.17 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+16.1%) | 15 | 0.3% | 54m | 1.8d ago · 50× | 1% ±6 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 13% ±30 | 32% ±64 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 91 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,239.48 (+6.6%) | 6.3 | 0.8% | 5h | 21.3d ago · 44× | 10% ±10 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 29% ±26 | 50% ±44 | 6.9d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 218 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,124.39 (+3.7%) | 3.5 | 4.8% | 1.5d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 24% ±22 | 25% ±21 | 20% ±19 | 55% ±24 | 17 | 6% ±5 | 24% ±22 | 47% ±44 | 67% ±65 | 5.4d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,094.46 (+3.0%) | 2.8 | 3.4% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 51% ±17 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 11% ±4 | 50% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 81% ±34 | 22h | 1.92% | 1.76% | 198 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,072.58 (+2.4%) | 2.3 | 2.8% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 70× | 60% ±29 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 28% ±11 | 60% ±29 | 78% ±41 | 81% ±54 | 14h | 1.98% | 2.49% | 66 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 4,063.46–4,185.32 (+2.2%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 17h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 49% ±21 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 13% ±6 | 49% ±21 | 59% ±36 | 62% ±55 | 1.1d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 129 → 3 | |
| at post · 3,977.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 3,856.65–3,871.79 (-2.6%) | 2.5 | 3.6% | 1.5d | 2.9d ago · 106× | 42% ±22 | 52% ±16 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 13% ±6 | 42% ±22 | 61% ±36 | 70% ±52 | 1.5d | 2.71% | 1.52% | 122 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.86 (-4.3%) | 4.1 | 2.5% | 15h | 2.8d ago · 59× | 31% ±18 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 5% ±3 | 31% ±18 | 52% ±35 | 62% ±55 | 2.9d | 2.54% | 1.41% | 145 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,766.45 (-5.3%) | 5.0 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.8d ago · 85× | 21% ±12 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±12 | 38% ±25 | 59% ±39 | 4.8d | 2.57% | 1.12% | 255 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,724.96 (-6.3%) | 6.0 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 5% ±7 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 19% ±23 | 38% ±43 | > 7d | — | — | 190 → 5 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,977.01 | 3,856.65 | 4,153.5 | target | +0.70% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 3,977.01 | 3,871.79 | 4,120.77 | target | +0.70% |