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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-10-30 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,437 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 4,618.6–4,645.68 (+19.4%) | 17 | 0.3% | 59m | 1.7d ago · 50× | 1% ±5 | 23% ±26 | 15% ±22 | 62% ±30 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 8% ±24 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | 2.25% | 1.24% | 98 → 2 | |
| 30D VAH | 4,225.94 (+9.2%) | 8.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 21.2d ago · 44× | 5% ±6 | 40% ±28 | 13% ±19 | 47% ±28 | 12 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±20 | 45% ±37 | > 7d | 2.36% | 1.96% | 309 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,092.44 (+5.8%) | 5.0 | 3.2% | 18h | 3.2d ago · 97× | 29% ±13 | 46% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 3% ±2 | 29% ±13 | 43% ±24 | 62% ±36 | 4.0d | 1.92% | 1.76% | 287 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 4,077–4,171.78 (+5.4%) | 4.7 | 2.9% | 16h | 9.5d ago · 82× | 16% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±14 | 36% ±33 | 56% ±49 | 6.5d | 2.06% | 2.04% | 151 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,043.48 (+4.5%) | 3.9 | 2.4% | 12h | 3.1d ago · 70× | 29% ±19 | 48% ±21 | 4% ±8 | 48% ±21 | 22 | 7% ±4 | 29% ±19 | 58% ±37 | 70% ±52 | 2.3d | 1.98% | 2.49% | 131 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 3,975.45 (+2.7%) | 2.4 | 4.6% | 1.2d | 3.0d ago · 67× | 28% ±29 | 29% ±21 | 19% ±18 | 52% ±23 | 18 | 11% ±8 | 27% ±29 | 56% ±56 | 70% | 1.7d | 1.04% | 1.94% | 55 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 3,934.12 (+1.7%) | 1.4 | 4.0% | 1.9d | 3.0d ago · 104× | 73% ±20 | 51% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 32 | 42% ±9 | 73% ±20 | 81% ±32 | 89% ±35 | 6h | 2.17% | 1.69% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 3,871.79 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.1% | 1.7d | 3.0d ago · 79× | 91% ±19 | 29% ±19 | 4% ±9 | 67% ±20 | 21 | 85% ±10 | 91% ±19 | 94% ±28 | 94% | 1h | 2.01% | 1.90% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 3,869.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 3,829.31 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 2.7d ago · 85× | 60% ±23 | 55% ±19 | 17% ±15 | 28% ±17 | 26 | 45% ±9 | 60% ±23 | 71% ±36 | 73% ±50 | 6h | 2.57% | 1.12% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,804.86 (-1.7%) | 1.5 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.7d ago · 59× | 55% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 16 | 29% ±9 | 55% ±24 | 60% ±43 | 63% ±67 | 18h | 2.54% | 1.41% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 3,711.42 (-4.1%) | 3.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 31× | 21% ±19 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 5% ±4 | 21% ±19 | 27% ±36 | 34% ±53 | > 7d | — | — | 106 → 3 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 3,869.56 | 3,804.86 | 4,043.48 | target | +0.22% |